Monday, July 27, 2009

Back to my roots

Aaj socha ki phir kud se guftagu kar loon

Phir usi barq bayaani ki justuju kar loon

Kuch toa hai ki huye hai parwaaz mutasir

Yeh baat kyon na aaj mein rubaru kar loon

Kis kadar huyee hai kotahi-e-inqilaab

Acha ki mein qalam ko phir do badoon kar loon

Ayyam ne yaan phir se hai aayeena dikhaya

Acha hai ki Talib ko phir joon ka toon kar loon

Gone with the wind?
















Poocha hai dost khat mein tum ne mujh se mera haal
Sanjho ki jehannum mein hai baraf ka basar


Waan Shaam ki aatishi ranaeyaan pur kaif
Yaan be rang o boo nazar ko lagey hai har sehar


Yaan sabzah zaar bhi lage kantoon ki chatayee
Waan dhool ko behtar kahoon makhmal ka bistar


Waan baarish ki boondh badan ko kamal ka bosah
Yaan shabnum ka oas bhi mere badan ko hai sharar
Talib

Kashmir's energy and climate imperatives

First published in Daily Greater Kashmir, 31st May, 2009

Daddy’s Day Out

Of Kashmir’s energy, climate and senior Abdullah

Arjimand Hussain Talib

After some hiatus full of suspense, the cat is finally out of the bag – Kashmir’s ‘prodigal son’, the senior Abdullah, got a ministerial berth at New Delhi. Political pundits would call the portfolio Mr. Abdullah got an act of mortification for the National Conference at the hands of the Congress Party. To most people, it sounds like Congressmen’s sweet revenge from an ally ‘who made it lose the Ladakh parliamentary seat’.

Say whatever, the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy is going to be boring for the senior Abdullah. Looking at his tastes and temperament, new and innovative technologies may hardly appeal to him. A ministry largely driven by dull science, whose commercial and economic viability generally remains in question, may not excite him. Imagine if he got tourism or a commerce ministry!

Jokes and scepticism apart, his day out at the ministry offers some great opportunities as well.

Two other important events that happened in Kashmir last week couldn’t have occurred at a more apt time. The international workshop on ‘Energy Challenges in J&K State’ held at the Kashmir University was one such event. The Geology and Geophysics Department there has earned a great reputation of serious and tangible work, which goes beyond symbolism. Some of the deliberations at the workshop have set a clear agenda for the Senior Abdullah.

The first meeting of the Working Group on Climate Change in Kashmir, coincidentally happening at the Kashmir University, has again come at the right time. Again, it has set another significant agenda for Mr. Abdullah.

To begin with, we need to recognise that there is something very vital about the whole debate on climate change and energy needs of Kashmir: the political and the social context. An excessive focus on the technology-driven solutions, driven by hoopla, would be an approach to nowhere. There are some vital facts, some myths, and even some issues driven by academic excitement, which we must keep in sight.

When it comes to energy research in Kashmir, the fundamental point of reference is political. Let us take water and hydro power, for instance. No matter the qualitative research on these two issues, the fact is that the basics would remain the same.

Kashmir under the current political and administrative system would always be short of means to exploit its water resources for the benefit of its people. The end result would be the same – powerful public and private corporations would invest, exploit and sell Kashmir’s resources. And people would continue to remain energy-starved. Our economy would continue to remain under strain due to severe power shortage. Our domestic product would hardly be able to keep pace with our population growth.

Today Kashmir’s challenges emanate from climate change, food insecurity; high militarisation and poor per capita energy availability. The question is how to address them.

Even as powerful public and private corporations exploit Kashmir’s water resources for generating electricity, we earn massive carbon credits, for the power houses we host are generally environment-friendly. But who takes the benefit of these carbon credits? How do we plan to harmonise our future industrial and energy establishments in relation to our carbon credits? These are some fundamental questions that we need to address.

An Energy Research Institute in Kashmir could, at best, provide academic feedback to the range of energy options to the existing political system. That feedback, if not sensitive to the local people’s needs, could translate into further entrenchment of the centralised exploitation of energy resources in Kashmir.

Let us do not lose sight of the macro-level realities. Alternative energy discourse must not dwarf the existing exploitative system. India’s public-sector National Hydro Power Corporation (NHPC) has got four new major power projects on our rivers - the Sewa-II (120 MW) on Chenab, Uri-II (240 MW) on Jhelum, Kishenganga (330 MW) on Kishangaga river and the 1,020 MW Bursur project on Marusudar River, a tributary of the Chenab.

The NHPC, India’s Power Trading Corporation (PTC) and Kashmir’s State Power Development Corporation (SPDC) have signed another MoU for developing Pakal-Dul and two other hydroelectric projects in the Chenab River basin in October 2008. Together they will produce 2,100 megawatts (MW) of power. And what benefit would they incur to Kashmir’s people?

NHPC Chairman, Mr. S.K. Garg, has already said it publicly that out of the 14 power projects the NHPC runs in India, ‘Kashmir projects were the most economical, giving maximum profit’.

We also need to advocate for removal of the veil over the regime of environmental and social impact assessment of big power projects in Kashmir. Why are they mired in secrecy? Why can’t we be transparent about them? We need to know the costs we are paying for these projects.

At the energy workshop there was also a talk of exploring hydrocarbon reserves in Kashmir. In practical terms, it would mean the Oil and Natural Gas Commission (ONGC) undertaking drilling, and if at all they hit oil or gas, market it. What would energy-starved Kashmir get?

A departure from the current political conditions would require Kashmir government to renegotiate the New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP), which must take care of Kashmir’s special constitutional and political status.

In view of the cost benefit analysis, Kashmir has very little or no scope for developing alternative energy resources like those obtained from biomass, wind, geothermal sources or tides. Solar power would continue to retain its minuscule status – again due to its high costs and technical limitations.

It is now almost well established by research that not all of this renewable energy potential may be suitable for grid-interactive power for technical and/or economic reasons.

There is indeed a possibility of exploring Small Hydro Power Schemes (up to 25 MW) under public-private partnership system. This area falls well within the domain of the ministry that Mr. Farooq heads now. But, as always, the questions on economic viability and maintenance would remain.

Let us do not lose sight of our experience with the development of Micro and Mini Hydro Power Schemes in Kashmir’s inaccessible and border areas. Barring a few exceptions, almost all of them lie defunct today.

Then let us take Kashmir municipal waste, which continues to be an environmental challenge to us. Can we create energy from that? In whole of India, the current technically-feasible municipal waste-to-energy potential is assessed at 1700 MWe (Mega Watt Equivalent). Its economic viability remains a big challenge.

Energy is a highly political question. We also need to be mindful of the corporate interest in pushing energy ideas which do not help local economies. Academics may serve to strengthen the status quo, mired in inequalities and injustices or trigger a break from it. The former is no option at all.

A lot would also depend on how Senior Abdullah is able to influence the thinking and policies on new and renewable energy in Kashmir. And time would tell if his day out at the ministry made any difference to the exploitative and unjust energy regime Kashmir’s poor people have been made to live with.

Feedback at Arjimand@greaterkashmir.com

Kashmir’s self ruin for hurt

First published Daily Greater Kashmir, 7 June, 2009-06-07

Kashmir’s self ruin for hurt

Let us understand it does not matter to our oppressor if we eat our dinner or not. It doesn’t matter to him if a widow fails to feed her children, and in desperation resorts to prostitution. It does not matter to him if economic deprivation breeds crime and nihilism in our society. Whether our children are getting quality education doesn’t matter to him either.

Arjimand Hussain Talib

Kashmir’s history looks like on a pause. Its life has become cyclically predictable. A brute tyranny, a bizarre national contradiction and a compulsive sense of self ruin forms a cycle. All these components fuel each other. And the cycle rolls.

There is an awful feeling of déjà vu every time a Kashmiri woman is raped, or an innocent man killed by Indian soldiers. It evokes a mass feeling of haplessness among Kashmiris, which is torturous.

The latest atrocity in Shopian at the hands of Indian soldiers is one such example. Alas! Omar Abdullah still looks the other way. Alas! His coalition government, the PDP and their ilk continue politicking for the sake of power.

Every time such atrocities are reported, Kashmir’s rulers resort to their creepy scheme: order probes, buy time, dilute public memory and close the chapter. They never had the conviction to confess that they have bartered their moral authority to make justice prevail for their brush with power. They don’t tell us it is that way their feigned autocracy, skilfully disguised as democracy, works. Still worse, they get away with everything, and usually have the last laugh.

For more than half a century now Kashmiris are under a disguised slavery. For more than three decades they struggled peacefully to chart their destiny, but achieved nothing. Two decades of armed struggle did not get the goal any closer.

Kashmir’s armed struggle has now largely subdued. Peaceful and democratic means of struggle are back. But, sadly, India’s response to it continues to be overly militaristic. A democratic space to allow a peaceful struggle remains a mirage.

For more than two decades, peaceful shut downs have complemented Kashmir’s armed struggle. It is now an established fact that they have done more harm than any good. Worse, we continue to embark the same path.

Looking at the level of repression, many people argue shut downs are the only means of protest left with the Kashmiri people. That is only partly true. Resorting to shut downs on selective basis could be effective. They need not be frequent and indefinite. They could be even more creative.

A long shut down with no clear goal is a clear recipe for self ruin. Its rationale is intrinsically faulty. It brings economic mayhem, tatters our social and psychological wellbeing. You cannot inflict self hurt and expect the oppressor to mend. It has to be the other way round.

Monotony and predictability in any kind of protest defeats its very purpose. It fails to catch attention and incite action. When it hurts the self, it fails to mobilise. Its approach becomes surreal, turns people away and makes them reluctant participants.

Let us understand it does not matter to our oppressor if we eat our dinner or not. It doesn’t matter to him if a widow fails to feed her children, and in desperation resorts to prostitution. It does not matter to him if economic deprivation breeds crime and nihilism in our society. Whether our children are getting quality education doesn’t matter to him either.

Let us understand such long shut downs severely impact people’s psychological well being. There is a limit to human endurance in everything. Long shut downs are known to breed domestic frictions and frustrations among our jobless youth. They result in loss of lives. They are a health hazard too.

A day-long shut down doesn’t only mean a quantifiable loss of business. It results in indefinable and innumerable opportunities lost – a loss which can be hardly regained. This culture of frequent and long shut-downs sickens us and pushes us further to lethargy and inaction. It deepens the crisis of our work culture. Let us realise we continue to lack in independent and credible national institutions because we have impaired our social, educational, psychological and intellectual ability.

By pure miracle we have survived about two decades of economic mayhem by long shut downs. God has been kind to us by bestowing us with bounties of agriculture and horticulture. A strong sense of social cohesion and brotherhood ensures the poor do not go hungry. But let us do not take God for granted.

India and South Africa’s freedom struggles have some key lessons.

The youth wing of the African National Congress (ANC), sickened by a lack of progress in achieving their goals, in somewhat similar circumstances, took control of the organization in 1949. The new young leaders, among other things, embraced a new Programme of Action – which included a series of strikes, boycotts and civil disobedience actions.

The aim of the protests was to disrupt the White regime’s trade and commercial activities. It was a kind of civil disobedience. The White regime was at a loss because it was losing production and tax revenues. The action made the White regime feel the pinch.

When we reflect on the means of protest in India’s freedom struggle, the message is the same. The movements of non-cooperation, civil disobedience, the Dandi March… they were not the instruments of self ruin. The objective was clear and unambiguous. There was no element of self ruin.

Breaking the cycle of Kashmir’s hurt and self ruin is possible.

First, New Delhi and its regime in Srinagar must allow a space for peaceful expression of protest and disapproval. You cannot endlessly deny a right of peaceful protest in the name of maintaining so-called public order.

‘Undeclared curfews’ remain a blot on the rule of law. They mock at the concepts of basic human freedom and civil liberties. They must be done away with.

Second, the leaders who are supposed to lead these protests are often detained; house arrested and denied the democratic right to connect to the people. If you grant them that right, their logic for resorting to long shut-downs would stand questioned.

Third, any form of protest needs to re-invent its raison d’être. Should it be self hurting or the other way round?

Fourth, a protest could be an opportunity as well. Imagine business establishments or even houses lighting up candles every night on a day of protest! Imagine those candles coming from micro enterprises of our jobless youth or even widows, who are today left dependent on government aid! Imagine on a day of protest special messages and slogans displayed on our vehicles! Imagine women wearing black ribbons when it is for them to convey a message. Imagine children too doing like that! Imagine revisiting the 90s’ popular mode of protest - beating of tin roof tops and making the ‘right noise’! There could be any number of ideas.

Fifth, hydro power is the main resource of Kashmir which goes places. Imagine a peaceful protest surrounding it!

Let us understand no matter Kashmir’s democratic façade; as long as there is occupation, there would be repression. Time to bid good bye to this intellectual narrowness has come. Struggles must bear results. Or else, they must re-invent.

Feedback at Arjimand@greaterkashmir.com

South Africa Today I

First published in Daily Greater Kashmir on 26 July, 2009

South Africa today - I

Apartheid, colonialism versus spirit of freedom

Arjimand Hussain Talib

A century and sixteen years have passed since Mahatma Gandhi was thrown off a train at Pietermaritzburg here for boarding a first class train coach in 1893. It is now fifteen years since the end of the grand Apartheid in South Africa in 1994. To some measure, human spirit for freedom and dignity has prevailed. People have achieved little freedom from colonialism. Small triumphs against racism. Some petty battles against oppression and exploitation have also been won. Yet a lot has never changed.

Last Sunday when I reached Johannesburg South Africa was celebrating Nelson Mandela’s 91st birthday. The increasingly frail former statesman is affectionately called Madiba here, his clan name. It was a day marked by celebrations and new pledges – to end racism, exploitation and oppression.

On the occasion, the current President, Jacob Zuma, told his countrymen that ‘if there is a story to be told of an icon that inspires the world, characterised by the humility, warm humanity and a will for prosperity, then Madiba’s 91-year life story offers a story of life worth living.’

The uniqueness about South Africa is that it is a country which is a constant history in the making. For people like us, the so-called ‘subjects’ of the colonial empire, the understanding of the modern human history is incomplete without understanding South Africa. The grand project of colonialism in this country has deep lessons. It holds answers to many unanswered questions of our spiritual quest about our history and our current miseries.

Down the years, South Africa has changed. As the grand Apartheid ended in 1994, with the African National Congress assuming people’s power, the country has given birth to many other struggles.

Even as some sections of the native Blacks have come out of poverty and misery, large sections of its population continue to live in destitution and suffering. The social and economic divides between the haves and the haves-not are glaring. Petty Apartheid has not ended altogether. It is a life of ghettos. The Whites, the Blacks, the Indians and the coloured, all have their own neighbourhoods to live in. Although intermingling of races is a reality in South Africa today, some corners of people’s minds continue to nurture racism.

Today South Africa is not only about a nation which is progressing after achieving its freedom. There is raging class warfare in the society, at the root of which is acute poverty and exclusion.

South Africa’s general living standards and infrastructure are comparable to any European country. It has a booming economy, and the rich and the middle class make good money. But vast sections of the Black population are suffering. Immigration is a sensitive issue. Locals feel immigrants have taken away their jobs and economic opportunities.

Incidentally, last week, members of the newly-emerged South Africa Unemployed People’s Movement stormed into the shops owned by foreigners in the town of Balfour and took away food. According to news reports, more than 200 people have been arrested last week alone as protesters in townships around Johannesburg and in other parts of the country stoned vehicles, set fire to buildings and looted shops.

All these protests were organised by the South African Unemployed People's Movement, which is demanding free education, better public health care, and a 1,500 rand (about 200 dollars) monthly grant for the unemployed.

Today millions of Black South Africans feel they have yet to enjoy the fruits of democracy, as frustration mounts over dire housing conditions and a lack of basic services, such as water and electricity. Unemployment in the country is officially at 23.5 percent but is believed much higher. President Jacob Zuma has promised to create 500,000 jobs this year, but the country has slipped into its first recession since apartheid, with more than 200,000 jobs already lost.

When the mayor of the farming town of Balfour, southeast of Johannesburg, tried to speak to a crowd late Wednesday, his convoy was stoned and police used rubber bullets to break up the protest. It reminded me of Kashmir.

Meanwhile, in the posh port city of Durban, two grocery stores were looted Wednesday by about 100 people, mainly old women who said they were hungry.

The provincial police spokesman, while speaking on a local TV channel, said that they just ate in the shops because they were hungry. Some took some rice and maize meal. They didn't struggle with the police. They are not criminals, he asserted.

Since the end of Apartheid, South Africa has made strides in improving housing while expanding access to clean water and electricity, building 2.8 million houses in 15 years. But more than one million families still live in shacks without power, often sharing a single tap among dozens of households. The problem is particularly acute at the moment, as South Africa is at the height of winter, with freezing temperatures in Johannesburg and other parts of the country.

The latest demonstrations have also sparked anxious memories of the xenophobic attacks that swept the country one year ago, when 60 people died and tens of thousands of foreigners fled townships for refugee camps.

The 2008 xenophobia violence has a painful background. The local Black population feel that the foreigners, having come from the neighbouring African countries and India, take away their jobs. Since South Africa’s currency is doing very well, it attracts immigrants far and wide. Local companies prefer immigrant labour and other high end job seekers, as they demand lower wages.

In the northern Thulamela Township, I came across an exclusive neighbourhood of Indians, mainly Muslims from Gujarat. Over the years, they have developed into a full fledged community there, managing almost the entire supply chain. From barbers to tea selling shops, to KFCs and super markets, all are run by South Asians. This racial ghettoisation is disturbing the locals.

But there are others in South Africa who reject this xenophobia. At the Johannesburg University campus, the place of my stay, I spoke to a few students at a coffee shop at the Campus Square about their views on such xenophobic perceptions. They say that the number of the immigrants was too small to alter local economic opportunities. To them land ownership in South Africa was the basic reason for the poverty among the local Blacks. The Whites in this country continue to own about 96 percent of commercial arable land, which generates the real wealth.

The South African government aims to put about 30 percent of the country's agricultural land into Black hands within 15 years. But the process is slow. The situation today seems highly unequal. I am learning.

Feedback at arjimand@greaterkashmir.com